Optimal control techniques based on infection age for the study of the COVID-19 epidemic - Inria - Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies du numérique
Pré-Publication, Document De Travail Année : 2020

Optimal control techniques based on infection age for the study of the COVID-19 epidemic

Résumé

We propose a model for the COVID-19 epidemic where the population is partitioned into classes corresponding to ages (that remain constant during the epidemic). The main feature is to take into account the infection age of the infected population. This allows to better simulate the infection propagation that crucially depend on the infection age. We discuss how to compute the coefficients from data available in the future, and introduce a confinement variable as control. The cost function is a compromise between confinement cost, hospitalization peak and the death toll. Our numerical experiments allow to evaluate the interest of confinement varying with age classes.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
covid-19-BonnansGianatti.pdf (805.19 Ko) Télécharger le fichier
Origine Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)
Loading...

Dates et versions

hal-02558980 , version 1 (30-04-2020)
hal-02558980 , version 2 (18-05-2020)
hal-02558980 , version 3 (12-09-2020)

Identifiants

  • HAL Id : hal-02558980 , version 2

Citer

Joseph Frédéric Bonnans, Justina Gianatti. Optimal control techniques based on infection age for the study of the COVID-19 epidemic. 2020. ⟨hal-02558980v2⟩
733 Consultations
590 Téléchargements

Partager

More