The Spatiotemporal Interplay of Regularity and Randomness in Cellular Data Traffic
Résumé
In this paper, we leverage two large-scale real-world
datasets to provide the first results on the limits of predictability
of cellular data traffic demands generated by individual users
over time and space. Using information theory tools, we measure
the maximum predictability that any algorithm has potential to
achieve. We first focus on the predictability of mobile traffic
consumption patterns in isolation. Our results show that it is
theoretically possible to anticipate the individual demand with
a typical accuracy of 85% and reveal that this percentage is
consistent across all user types. Then, we analyze the joint
predictability of the traffic demands and mobility patterns. We
find that the two dimensions are correlated, which improves the
predictability upper bound to 90% on average.
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