Daily Sales Forecasting for Grapes by Support Vector Machine
Résumé
In this article, the quantity of grapes sold in one fruit shop of an
interlocking fruit supermarket is forecasted by the method of support
vector machine (SVM) based on deficient data. Since SVMs have a lot
advantages such as great generalization performance and guarantying
global minimum for given training data, it is believed that support
vector regression will perform well for forecasting sales of grapes. In
order to improve forecasting precision (FP), this article quantifies the
factors affecting the sales forecast of grapes such as weather and
weekend or weekday, results are suitable for real situations. In this
article, we apply ε-SVR and
LS-SVR to forecast sales of three varieties of grapes. Moreover, the
artificial neural network (ANN) and decision tree (DT) are used as
contrast and numerical experiments show that forecasting systems with
SVMs is better than ANN and DT to forecast the daily sales of grapes
overall.
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