A Mean Field Game Analysis of SIR Dynamics with Vaccination - Inria - Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies du numérique
Article Dans Une Revue Probability in the Engineering and Informational Sciences Année : 2020

A Mean Field Game Analysis of SIR Dynamics with Vaccination

Résumé

In this paper, we analyze a mean field game model of SIR dynamics (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered) where players can vaccinate. This game admits a unique mean-field equilibrium: The equilibrium strategy of each player is to vaccinate until the proportion of susceptible players drops below some threshold and stop vaccinating thereafter. We also show that the vaccination strategy minimizing the total cost for the population is a different threshold strategy. This implies that, to encourage optimal vaccination behaviors, vaccination should be subsidized. Finally, we provide numerical experiments to study the convergence of the equilibrium when the system is composed by a finite number of agents ($N$) to the mean field equilibrium. These experiments show that the convergence rate of the cost is $1/N$ and the convergence of the switching curve is monotone.
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
PEIS.pdf (642.89 Ko) Télécharger le fichier
Origine Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)

Dates et versions

hal-01496885 , version 1 (28-03-2017)
hal-01496885 , version 2 (11-12-2020)

Identifiants

Citer

Josu Doncel, Nicolas Gast, Bruno Gaujal. A Mean Field Game Analysis of SIR Dynamics with Vaccination. Probability in the Engineering and Informational Sciences, 2020, pp.1-18. ⟨10.1017/S0269964820000522⟩. ⟨hal-01496885v2⟩
515 Consultations
1516 Téléchargements

Altmetric

Partager

More