Monitoring Method of Cow Anthrax Based on Gis and Spatial Statistical Analysis
Résumé
Geographic information system (GIS) is a computer
application system, which possesses the ability of manipulating spatial
information and has been used in many fields related with the spatial
information management. Many methods and models have been established
for analyzing animal diseases distribution models and temporal-spatial
transmission models. Great benefits have been gained from the
application of GIS in animal disease epidemiology. GIS is now a very
important tool in animal disease epidemiological research. Spatial
analysis function of GIS can be widened and strengthened by using
spatial statistical analysis, allowing for the deeper exploration,
analysis, manipulation and interpretation of spatial pattern and spatial
correlation of the animal disease. In this paper, we analyzed the cow
anthrax spatial distribution characteristics in the target district A
(due to the secret of epidemic data we call it district A) based on the
established GIS of the cow anthrax in this district in combination of
spatial statistical analysis and GIS. The Cow anthrax is biogeochemical
disease, and its geographical distribution is related closely to the
environmental factors of habitats and has some spatial characteristics,
and therefore the correct analysis of the spatial distribution of
anthrax cow for monitoring and the prevention and control of anthrax has
a very important role. However, the application of classic statistical
methods in some areas is very difficult because of the pastoral nomadic
context. The high mobility of livestock and the lack of enough suitable
sampling for the some of the difficulties in monitoring currently make
it nearly impossible to apply rigorous random sampling methods. It is
thus necessary to develop an alternative sampling method, which could
overcome the lack of sampling and meet the requirements for randomness.
The GIS computer application software ArcGIS9.1 was used to overcome the
lack of data of sampling sites.Using ArcGIS 9.1 and GEODA to analyze the
cow anthrax spatial distribution of district A. we gained some
conclusions about cow anthrax' density: (1) there is a spatial
clustering model. (2) there is an intensely spatial autocorrelation. We
established a prediction model to estimate the anthrax distribution
based on the spatial characteristic of the density of cow anthrax.
Comparing with the true distribution, the prediction model has a well
coincidence and is feasible to the application. The method using a GIS
tool facilitates can be implemented significantly in the cow anthrax
monitoring and investigation, and the space statistics - related
prediction model provides a fundamental use for other study on
space-related animal diseases.
Domaines
Bibliothèque électronique [cs.DL]Origine | Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s) |
---|
Loading...