Predicting Firms’ Credit Ratings Using Ensembles of Artificial Immune Systems and Machine Learning – An Over-Sampling Approach - Inria - Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies du numérique
Communication Dans Un Congrès Année : 2014

Predicting Firms’ Credit Ratings Using Ensembles of Artificial Immune Systems and Machine Learning – An Over-Sampling Approach

Petr Hájek
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  • PersonId : 992409
Vladimír Olej
  • Fonction : Auteur
  • PersonId : 992410

Résumé

This paper examines the classification performance of artificial immune systems on the one hand and machine learning and neural networks on the other hand on the problem of forecasting credit ratings of firms. The problem is realized as a two-class problem, for investment and non-investment rating grades. The dataset is usually imbalanced in credit rating predictions. We address the issue by over-sampling the minority class in the training dataset. The experimental results show that this approach leads to significantly higher classification accuracy. Additionally, the use of the ensembles of classifiers makes the prediction even more accurate.
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Dates et versions

hal-01391290 , version 1 (03-11-2016)

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Petr Hájek, Vladimír Olej. Predicting Firms’ Credit Ratings Using Ensembles of Artificial Immune Systems and Machine Learning – An Over-Sampling Approach. 10th IFIP International Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications and Innovations (AIAI), Sep 2014, Rhodes, Greece. pp.29-38, ⟨10.1007/978-3-662-44654-6_3⟩. ⟨hal-01391290⟩
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