Assessing the Effect of Visualizations on Bayesian Reasoning Through Crowdsourcing - Inria - Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies du numérique
Article Dans Une Revue IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics Année : 2012

Assessing the Effect of Visualizations on Bayesian Reasoning Through Crowdsourcing

Résumé

People have difficulty understanding statistical information and are unaware of their wrong judgements, particularly in Bayesian reasoning. Psychology studies suggest that the way Bayesian problems are represented can impact comprehension, but few visual designs have been evaluated and only populations with a specific background have been involved. In this study, a textual and 6 visual representations for 3 classical problems were compared using a diverse subject pool through crowdsourcing. Visualizations included area-proportional Euler diagrams, glyph representations, and hybrid diagrams combining both. Our study failed to replicate previous findings in that subjects' accuracy was remarkably lower and visualizations exhibited no measurable benefit. A second experiment confirmed that simply adding a visualization to a textual Bayesian problem is of little help, even when the text refers to the visualization, but suggests that visualizations are more effective when the text is given without numerical values. We discuss our findings and the need for more such experiments to be carried out on heterogeneous populations of non-experts
Fichier principal
Vignette du fichier
InfoVis12_submission161_camera-ready.pdf (2.32 Mo) Télécharger le fichier
Vignette du fichier
vis_mammo.png (1.82 Mo) Télécharger le fichier
Origine Fichiers produits par l'(les) auteur(s)
Format Figure, Image
Loading...

Dates et versions

hal-00717503 , version 1 (13-07-2012)
hal-00717503 , version 2 (23-07-2012)

Identifiants

Citer

Luana Micallef, Pierre Dragicevic, Jean-Daniel Fekete. Assessing the Effect of Visualizations on Bayesian Reasoning Through Crowdsourcing. IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics, 2012, 18 (12), pp.2536 - 2545. ⟨10.1109/TVCG.2012.199⟩. ⟨hal-00717503v2⟩
695 Consultations
1609 Téléchargements

Altmetric

Partager

More