<?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8"?>
<TEI xmlns="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xmlns:hal="http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/" xmlns:gml="http://www.opengis.net/gml/3.3/" xmlns:gmlce="http://www.opengis.net/gml/3.3/ce" version="1.1" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.tei-c.org/ns/1.0 http://api.archives-ouvertes.fr/documents/aofr-sword.xsd">
  <teiHeader>
    <fileDesc>
      <titleStmt>
        <title>HAL TEI export of hal-01348090</title>
      </titleStmt>
      <publicationStmt>
        <distributor>CCSD</distributor>
        <availability status="restricted">
          <licence target="https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/">CC0 1.0 - Universal</licence>
        </availability>
        <date when="2026-05-21T15:09:18+02:00"/>
      </publicationStmt>
      <sourceDesc>
        <p part="N">HAL API Platform</p>
      </sourceDesc>
    </fileDesc>
  </teiHeader>
  <text>
    <body>
      <listBibl>
        <biblFull>
          <titleStmt>
            <title xml:lang="en">The Classic Swine Fever Morbidity Forecasting Research Based on Combined Model</title>
            <author role="aut">
              <persName>
                <forename type="first">Yi</forename>
                <surname>Liang</surname>
              </persName>
              <email type="md5">7fd070ad6f29c8af79a13798ba4ef117</email>
              <email type="domain">126.com</email>
              <idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">986493</idno>
              <idno type="halauthorid" notation="string">1047824-986493</idno>
              <affiliation ref="#struct-440545"/>
            </author>
            <author role="aut">
              <persName>
                <forename type="first">Shihong</forename>
                <surname>Liu</surname>
              </persName>
              <email type="md5">a5f39cdda1d4d896a194ba393402755a</email>
              <email type="domain">mail.caas.net.cn</email>
              <idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">986494</idno>
              <idno type="halauthorid" notation="string">853413-986494</idno>
              <affiliation ref="#struct-440545"/>
            </author>
            <editor role="depositor">
              <persName>
                <forename>Hal</forename>
                <surname>Ifip</surname>
              </persName>
              <email type="md5">2073ac78024b6e13f2714db96e9b1e63</email>
              <email type="domain">inria.fr</email>
            </editor>
          </titleStmt>
          <editionStmt>
            <edition n="v1" type="current">
              <date type="whenSubmitted">2016-07-22 13:55:56</date>
              <date type="whenModified">2016-07-22 14:11:20</date>
              <date type="whenReleased">2016-07-22 14:11:20</date>
              <date type="whenProduced">2012-10-19</date>
              <date type="whenEndEmbargoed">2016-01-01</date>
              <ref type="file" target="https://inria.hal.science/hal-01348090v1/document">
                <date notBefore="2016-01-01"/>
              </ref>
              <ref type="file" subtype="author" n="1" target="https://inria.hal.science/hal-01348090v1/file/978-3-642-36124-1_16_Chapter.pdf" id="file-1348090-1428548">
                <date notBefore="2016-01-01"/>
              </ref>
              <ref type="externalLink" target="https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2F978-3-642-36124-1_16.pdf"/>
            </edition>
            <respStmt>
              <resp>contributor</resp>
              <name key="200187">
                <persName>
                  <forename>Hal</forename>
                  <surname>Ifip</surname>
                </persName>
                <email type="md5">2073ac78024b6e13f2714db96e9b1e63</email>
                <email type="domain">inria.fr</email>
              </name>
            </respStmt>
          </editionStmt>
          <publicationStmt>
            <distributor>CCSD</distributor>
            <idno type="halId">hal-01348090</idno>
            <idno type="halUri">https://inria.hal.science/hal-01348090</idno>
            <idno type="halBibtex">liang:hal-01348090</idno>
            <idno type="halRefHtml">&lt;i&gt;6th Computer and Computing Technologies in Agriculture (CCTA)&lt;/i&gt;, Oct 2012, Zhangjiajie, China. pp.126-132, &lt;a target="_blank" href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-36124-1_16"&gt;&amp;#x27E8;10.1007/978-3-642-36124-1_16&amp;#x27E9;&lt;/a&gt;</idno>
            <idno type="halRef">6th Computer and Computing Technologies in Agriculture (CCTA), Oct 2012, Zhangjiajie, China. pp.126-132, &amp;#x27E8;10.1007/978-3-642-36124-1_16&amp;#x27E9;</idno>
            <availability status="restricted">
              <licence target="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">CC BY 4.0 - Attribution<ref corresp="#file-1348090-1428548"/></licence>
            </availability>
          </publicationStmt>
          <seriesStmt>
            <idno type="stamp" n="IFIP">IFIP - International Federation for Information Processing</idno>
            <idno type="stamp" n="IFIP-AICT" corresp="IFIP">IFIP Advances in Information and Communication Technology</idno>
            <idno type="stamp" n="IFIP-TC" corresp="IFIP">IFIP Technical Committees </idno>
            <idno type="stamp" n="IFIP-TC5" corresp="IFIP-TC">IFIP TC5: Information Technology Applications</idno>
            <idno type="stamp" n="IFIP-WG5-14">IFIP WG5.14 : Advanced Information Processing for Agriculture</idno>
            <idno type="stamp" n="IFIP-CCTA" corresp="IFIP">CCTA: Computer and Computing Technologies in Agriculture</idno>
            <idno type="stamp" n="IFIP-AICT-392" corresp="IFIP-AICT">Computer and Computing Technologies in Agriculture VI - Part I</idno>
          </seriesStmt>
          <notesStmt>
            <note type="audience" n="2">International</note>
            <note type="invited" n="0">No</note>
            <note type="popular" n="0">No</note>
            <note type="peer" n="1">Yes</note>
            <note type="proceedings" n="1">Yes</note>
          </notesStmt>
          <sourceDesc>
            <biblStruct>
              <analytic>
                <title xml:lang="en">The Classic Swine Fever Morbidity Forecasting Research Based on Combined Model</title>
                <author role="aut">
                  <persName>
                    <forename type="first">Yi</forename>
                    <surname>Liang</surname>
                  </persName>
                  <email type="md5">7fd070ad6f29c8af79a13798ba4ef117</email>
                  <email type="domain">126.com</email>
                  <idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">986493</idno>
                  <idno type="halauthorid" notation="string">1047824-986493</idno>
                  <affiliation ref="#struct-440545"/>
                </author>
                <author role="aut">
                  <persName>
                    <forename type="first">Shihong</forename>
                    <surname>Liu</surname>
                  </persName>
                  <email type="md5">a5f39cdda1d4d896a194ba393402755a</email>
                  <email type="domain">mail.caas.net.cn</email>
                  <idno type="idhal" notation="numeric">986494</idno>
                  <idno type="halauthorid" notation="string">853413-986494</idno>
                  <affiliation ref="#struct-440545"/>
                </author>
              </analytic>
              <monogr>
                <title level="m">IFIP Advances in Information and Communication Technology</title>
                <meeting>
                  <title>6th Computer and Computing Technologies in Agriculture (CCTA)</title>
                  <date type="start">2012-10-19</date>
                  <date type="end">2012-10-21</date>
                  <settlement>Zhangjiajie</settlement>
                  <country key="CN">China</country>
                </meeting>
                <editor>Daoliang Li</editor>
                <editor>Yingyi Chen</editor>
                <imprint>
                  <publisher>Springer</publisher>
                  <biblScope unit="serie">Computer and Computing Technologies in Agriculture VI</biblScope>
                  <biblScope unit="volume">AICT-392</biblScope>
                  <biblScope unit="issue">Part I</biblScope>
                  <biblScope unit="pp">126-132</biblScope>
                  <date type="datePub">2013</date>
                </imprint>
              </monogr>
              <idno type="doi">10.1007/978-3-642-36124-1_16</idno>
            </biblStruct>
          </sourceDesc>
          <profileDesc>
            <langUsage>
              <language ident="en">English</language>
            </langUsage>
            <textClass>
              <keywords scheme="author">
                <term xml:lang="en">BP neural network</term>
                <term xml:lang="en">GA</term>
                <term xml:lang="en"> 1)</term>
                <term xml:lang="en">GM (1</term>
                <term xml:lang="en">ARIMA</term>
                <term xml:lang="en">Combined Model</term>
              </keywords>
              <classCode scheme="halDomain" n="info">Computer Science [cs]</classCode>
              <classCode scheme="halTypology" n="COMM">Conference papers</classCode>
              <classCode scheme="halOldTypology" n="COMM">Conference papers</classCode>
              <classCode scheme="halTreeTypology" n="COMM">Conference papers</classCode>
            </textClass>
            <abstract xml:lang="en">
              <p>This paper proposes the combined forecasting model which study on the classic swine fever (CSF) morbidity, using the forecasting results of ARIMA and GM (1, 1) model as the inputs of the majorizing BP neural network. Analyzing the monthly data from 2000 to 2009 and the accuracy of the forecasting results is 97.379%, more accurate and more steady than traditional methods. This research provides efficient Analytical tools for animals’ diseases forecasting work, and can provide reference to other animal diseases.</p>
            </abstract>
            <particDesc>
              <org type="consortium">TC 5</org>
              <org type="consortium">WG 5.14</org>
            </particDesc>
          </profileDesc>
        </biblFull>
      </listBibl>
    </body>
    <back>
      <listOrg type="structures">
        <org type="institution" xml:id="struct-440545" status="VALID">
          <orgName>Ministry of Agriculture of the People's Republic of China</orgName>
          <orgName type="acronym">MOA</orgName>
          <desc>
            <address>
              <addrLine>No.11 Nongzhanguan Nanli,Chaoyang District,Beijing China (100125)</addrLine>
              <country key="CN"/>
            </address>
            <ref type="url">http://english.agri.gov.cn/</ref>
          </desc>
        </org>
      </listOrg>
    </back>
  </text>
</TEI>